Oscar Predictions 2010


Can you smell it?  It’s that time of year.  The glamour, the stars, the overanalyzed red carpet previews, the politics, the overly long telecast.  Yes, it’s Oscar season.   I’ve decided to highlight a selection of this year’s major awards and tell you who I think should win and then who will win.  (Yes, there is a major difference between the two.)

Supporting Actor:

Should: Christoph Waltz for Inglourious Basterds. His portrayal as Hans Landa is the best performance of the year in ANY acting category.  Sadly, it is the only award Inglourious Basterds probably will take home tonight

Will:  Christoph Waltz for Inglourious Basterds.  He has been sweeping all the awards this season and for good reason: he’s just that good.

Supporting Actress:

Should: Monique for Precious.  She makes you hate her for the entire film and then in an instant, she makes you sympathize with the pain and anguish that has characterized her life.  An amazingly heartfelt performance.

Will: Monique for Precious.  Just like Waltz, Monique has swept all the award shows this season.  Pretty much a slam dunk to win the category.

Screenplay Adapted:

Should:  Up in the Air.  Jason Reitman’s script is observant yet subtle.  The dialogue and flow lend to a film that is constantly engaging and is about more than you might think.

Will:  Up in the Air.  After taking the Golden Globe and Writer’s guild, Reitman seems to be the favorite.  Not only is he Hollywood royalty because of his father’s success, but he has rightfully earned an immense amount of respect.

Screenplay Original:

Should: Inglourious Basterds.  Have you not seen this film?  Shame on you.  What a brilliant script that takes on so many things: film, history, memory just to mention a few.   In typical fashion, Tarrantino’s dialogue is unmatched.

Will:  The Hurt Locker.  Hollywood seems to be rooting for the “little film that could” and Hurt Locker is that film this year.  The script is strong and engaging, but I don’t think that it is one of its strongest aspects.

Animated Feature:

Should:  Up.  None of the other animated films come close to Up.  It is typical Pixar: beautiful, charming and poignant.  Nothing else is in its class.

Will: Up.  It’s won every major award that it could win.  If Coraline or Fantastic Fox somehow generate an upset, heads will roll.

Best Actress:

Should: Carey Mulligan for An Education. Mulligan’s role in An Education is one that is full of glamour, depth, and sheer beauty.  She has been overlooked all year and that is a pity.

Will:  Sandra Bullock for The Blind Side.  It’s a solid performance but she seems to be earning a lifetime achievement award here.  Maybe Meryl Streep sneaks in and steals the award.

Best Actor:

Should: Jeff Bridges for Crazy Heart. Not only does he draw us in with his amazing performance, but his singing in the film provides it with an authenticity that makes the film even stronger than it already is.

Will:  Jeff Bridges for Crazy Heart. He has constantly been building momentum and sweeping every award that he should be.  Pretty much a slam dunk.

Direction:

Should: Lee Daniels for Precious.  Precious is only as strong as it is because of Daniels’ stronghold over the project.  His command of the story sets him apart and the performances he gets out of his actors should be commended.

Will:  Kathryn Bigelow for The Hurt Locker.  She’s taking every award that a potential best director should be winning (omit the Golden Globe).  Hollywood likes to make history and this year will be no different: she will be the first female director to win an Oscar.

Best Picture:

Should:  Inglourious Basterds.  This should be the film Tarrantino wins best picture for.  Unfortunately, it hasn’t gained any traction in this year’s race.  Basterds really stood out to me.  It contains elements that no other film had this year.  See it if you haven’t.

Will:  The Hurt Locker.   Earlier this year it seemed like Avatar was going to sweep the evening.  Hurt Locker has made major strides in generating an upset.  I will have a lot easier time sleeping if Hurt Locker pulls it off.  If Avatar wins, based on its popularity and sheer money making prowess, I will have a sour taste in my mouth.

Enjoy the show!

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